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COMMERCIAL
REAL ESTATE FINANCE & SECURITIZATION
January 10-14, 1999
The Registry Resort &
Spa 475 Seagate Drive Naples, Florida 33940
Tel: 941-597-3232 Fax: 941-597-3147
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PRE-FORUM
INVESTOR WORKSHOP - SUNDAY, JANUARY 10, 1999
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MORTGAGE
ANALYTICS, OAS, MODELING & RELATIVE VALUE ANALYSIS
Note: There is no additional charge for attending this workshop when registering
for CMBS.
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| 11:45-4:30 |
Early Registration (Investor
Workshop & Forum) |
| 12:30 |
CHAIRPERSON'S WELCOME &
OPENING REMARKS |
| . |
Mark Lebowitz, Vice President, PAINEWEBBER
COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE SECURITIES, INC. |
| 12:45 |
KEY CONSIDERATIONS IN CHOOSING
THIRD-PARTY MODELING SERVICES |
| . |
- What is the model being used for?
- Structuring or reversing and analyzing a deal
- What kind of analytics are you trying to run?
- Can you do more than price-yield tables? Can
you easily combine multiple tranches from other deals so that you can look at
it as a portfolio?
Bernard Lin, Vice President, THE CAPITAL COMPANY
OF AMERICA |
| 1:15 |
MORTGAGE ANALYSIS AND OPTION-ADJUSTED SPREAD
ANALYSIS |
| . |
Frank J. Fabozzi, Ph.D., CFA, The School of
Management, YALE UNIVERSITY |
| 1:45 |
UNDERSTANDING AND EVALUATING
PREPAYMENTS AND YIELD MAINTENANCE |
| . |
As loans age and lockout periods approach
expiration, it is important for investors to better understand the impact of yield
maintenance charges on the bonds they hold. While the distribution methodology
has recently become more standardized, there are significant differences among
seasoned CMBS issues.
- What exactly is yield maintenance?
- Understanding the intricacies of calculating
yield maintenance charges
- Evaluating the distribution methodology over
the last two years
- Evaluating the impact to the bondholder
DEFAULTS: WHAT AAA BONDHOLDERS NEED TO KNOW
Many AAA buyers overlook the impact of loan defaults, and focus instead on
prepayments and extensions. Since defaults are really "disguised prepayments"
which shorten average lives, their impact must be considered.
- Why are defaults viewed as a form of prepayment?
- How recoveries are distributed to bondholders
- The impact of loss severity
Dan Gottlieb, Assistant Vice President, THE TREPP
GROUP
Jim Savitsky, Vice President, THE TREPP GROUP |
| 2:30 |
SYSTEMS FOR REVERSE-ENGINEERING
AND ANALYZING "B" PIECES: WHAT IS THE CURRENT STATE OF "STATE OF THE ART" TECHNOLOGY? |
| . |
In the wake of the recent developments in
the CMBS market, the need for rigorous cashflow modeling of not only the loans
but also the underlying properties has never been more apparent. This presentation
will allow "B" -piece buyers to learn more about the CMBS industry's most advanced
systems for deal modeling and analysis. Topics include:
- Databases vs. reverse engineering tools
- Deal modeling: drilling down to the property
level
- Shocking the model: prepayment modeling, default
modeling, stochastic NOI
Jeffrey Foley, Director of Marketing, WALL STREET
ANALYTICS, INC. |
| 3:00 |
Refreshments Courtesy
Of: INTEX |
| 3:15 |
CREDIT ANALYSIS |
| . |
This session presents an overview of credit
analysis for CMBS. This presentation will cover the use of real estate information
and forecasting of commercial mortgage loan prepayments, defaults and extension
behavior.
Harold J.A. Haig, President, CHARTER RESEARCH CORP. |
| 3:45 |
PREPAYMENT AND DEFAULT
TIMING AND THE IMPACT ON BOND VALUATION: A DYNAMIC ANALYSIS |
| . |
- Coordination of loan call protection and structure
default risk by property type and structure
- Are insurance company portfolios really trading
at 20% CPR?
- What will prepay speed do to valuation as the
CMBS supply goes into the yield maintenance period?
James X. Callahan, Executive Director, THE PENTALPHA
CAPITAL GROUP, LLC. |
| 4:30 |
Investor Workshop Concludes
Networking Cocktail Reception Begins |
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DAY ONE: MONDAY, JANUARY 11, 1999
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| 7:00 |
Registration...Continental Breakfast |
| 8:00 |
CO-CHAIRPERSONS' OPENING
REMARKS |
| . |
Jerry Pietroforte, Senior Manager, DELOITTE
& TOUCHE LLP
Louis Colosimo, Managing Director, MORGAN STANLEY DEAN WITTER
Robert Cestari, Director, CMBS, Trading, and
Greg Murphy, Managing Director, CMBS Trading, NOMURA SECURITIES INTERNATIONAL |
| 8:15 |
SPECIAL INTRODUCTORY PLENARY
SESSION: WHAT HAS HAPPENED TO THE CMBS MARKET & WHERE IS IT HEADED IN 1999? |
| . |
- How has the turmoil in the stock and bond markets
overseas and in the U.S. impacted all grades of CMBS?
- Are there early signs of stabilization? If
so, what happens in ' 99? New issuance, yield, spreads...
- Current deal structuring Who are the "B" piece
buyers?
- How will deals be different in " 99?
Session Facilitator:
Dennis Yeskey, Managing Director-Real Estate Services, DELOITTE & TOUCHE
LLP
Panelists:
Jim Thompson, CEO & Co-Chairman, BANC ONE MORTGAGE CAPITAL MARKETS
Robert Brennan, Managing Director, DONALDSON, LUFKIN & JENRETTE
Mark Kogan, Managing Director, GOLDMAN, SACHS & CO.
Brian Baker, Vice President, J.P. MORGAN
Michael M. Mazzei, Managing Director & Head of Commercial Mortgage Trading,
LEHMAN BROTHERS
Louis Colosimo, Managing Director, MORGAN STANLEY DEAN WITTER
Ronald Di Pasquale, Managing Director, NOMURA SECURITIES INTERNATIONAL
John A. Taylor, Managing Director, PAINEWEBBER COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE SECURITIES,
INC.
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| 9:45 |
FOLLOWING THE MONEY TRAIL:
A LOOK AT CAPITAL FLOWS IN THE REAL ESTATE MARKET |
| . |
- Defining real estate investments
- How are institutions managing REIT, CMBS and
whole loan investments in light of recent market developments?
- Re-thinking real estate asset allocation
- Where are opportunity funds finding value?
Session Facilitator:
David P. Jacob, Managing Director, THE CAPITAL COMPANY OF AMERICA
Panelists:
Greg White, Senior Vice President, CONNING ASSET MANAGEMENT
James D. Vincent, Managing Director, GE CAPITAL REAL ESTATE
Jun Han, Managing Director of Research, JOHN HANCOCK REAL ESTATE SERVICES
Yale Stark, Specialty Market Analyst, RANIERI & CO.
Kevin Riordan, Group Leader / Managing Director, TEACHERS INSURANCE & ANNUITY
ASSOCIATION (TIAA-CREF)
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| 10:45 |
Refreshments Courtesy Of:
INTEX |
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Choose from three concurrent sessions
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Track A: Total Return & Relative Value Analysis
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Track B: The Capital Market's Influence On Commercial
Real Estate And The Infrastructure Evolution
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Track C: Commercial Real Estate Finance &
Origination
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11:00A
CMBS: THE NEW FIXED-INCOME BENCHMARK?
- What role does CMBS play in a fixed-income
portfolio?
- Within CMBS, which classes offer the best value
for a fixed-income investor?
- How does CMBS perform relative to ABS, Corporates,
High-Yield and CMOs?
- How does CMBS compare in terms of liquidity?
How can it be improved?
- How well / poorly did CMBS perform in the volatile
September and October 1998 markets?
- What changes should we expect as a result of
this experience?
- What does 1999 hold for CMBS and other asset
classes in terms of supply?
- Predictions: where will CMBS be in six months?
Session Facilitator:
Ryan Marshall, Principal, MORGAN STANLEY DEAN WITTER
Panelists:
Michael Fara, Quantitative Director, CHASE ASSET MANAGEMENT
Michael Buttner, Director, FIRST UNION
CAPITAL MARKETS
Patrick Murphy, Assistant Vice President,
THE HARTFORD INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT CO.
Brad Davidoff, Department Head of Mortgage-and
Asset-Backed Trading, HYPO VEREINS BANK
Jim Daugherty, Vice President, J.P.
MORGAN INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT
David Moore, Vice President, LINCOLN
INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT COMPANY
Eileen Corcoran, Portfolio Manager, LOEWS
CORPORATION
Steve Kern, Analyst, STATE STREET
RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT
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11:00B
A LOOK AT CMBS MARKET DYNAMICS: AN INVESTOR PERSPECTIVE
This panel will analyze CMBS industry characteristics, infrastructure, strengths,
constraints and a review of supply and demand factors.
- How are investors establishing a framework
for determining bond prices in this marketplace?
- Which benchmarks are investors using?
- Reconciling differences in opinion about what
represents value and the right price to pay for that perceived value
Session Facilitator:
Patrick Corcoran, Ph.D., Vice President, J.P. MORGAN
Panelists:
Marshall L. Glick, Vice President, ALLIANCE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP
Michael Moran, Portfolio Manager, ALLSTATE
INSURANCE COMPANY
Bruce Martin, Senior Investment Officer,
JOHN HANCOCK BONDS & CORPORATE FINANCE
Michael R. Buchholz, Director-CMBS, NORTHWESTERN
MUTUAL LIFE INSURANCE
Laura Quigg, Senior Portfolio Manager,
SANFORD C. BERNSTEIN COMPANY, INC.
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11:00C
ARE THE CONDUITS COMING BACK FOR MORE?
- How will conduits compete in 1999?
- Who will be the survivors...Who are the competitors?
- What changes have to be made to maintain profitability?
- What will happen to portfolio lenders?
- How important are balance sheets in 1999 and
beyond?
- Are underwriting standards being maintained
in a highly competitive market? Are they consistent?
Session Facilitator:
Kieran P. Quinn, President & Chief Operating Officer, COLUMN FINANCIAL,
INC.
Panelists:
Jim Reichek, Senior Managing Director, BEAR, STEARNS & CO.
John Zizzo, Partner, CADWALADER WICKERSHAM
& TAFT
Perry Gershon, Managing Director, THE
CAPITAL COMPANY OF AMERICA
Susan Merrick, Senior Director, FITCH
IBCA, INC.
Daniel Smith, Senior Director, GE
CAPITAL ACCESS
Spencer Young, Vice President, MORGAN
STANLEY DEAN WITTER
Margie Custis, Assistant Director,
THE PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP
Clay Lehbar, President, PRUDENTIAL
MORTGAGE CAPITAL COMPANY
Boyd Johnson, Senior Vice President,
WACHOVIA
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| 12:00 |
Luncheon Courtesy Of: MIDLAND LOAN SERVICES,
INC. & IMN
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| . |
Luncheon Keynote Speaker:
Stacey M. Berger, Executive Vice President, MIDLAND LOAN SERVICES, INC.
President Elect, COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE SECONDARY MARKET ASSOCIATION (CSSA)
Stacey M. Berger is Executive Vice President
of Midland Loan Services, Inc., a fully integrated commercial real estate financial
services company with a current servicing portfolio in excess of $40 billion.
Midland, a wholly-owned subsidiary of PNC Bank Corp., originates, securitizes
and services commercial real estate loans. It is the largest servicer of commercial
mortgage-backed security transactions and is also a leading conduit lender and
special servicer. Mr. Berger has been with Midland since its formation in 1990,
and holds responsibility for business development, corporate marketing and strategic
planning activities.
Prior to joining Midland, Mr. Berger was responsible
for the real estate asset management and investment advisory services for a subsidiary
of Landmark Land Company, Inc.. Mr. Berger received a BA degree in Economics and
an MBA Degree from Tulane University. Mr. Berger is on the Board Of Directors
of the Multifamily Housing Institute and the National Realty Committee.
|
1:15A
MEZZANINE CMBS: ANALYZING THE MIDDLE PART OF THE CREDIT CURVE FROM SINGLE "A"S
TO DOUBLE "B"S
- Mezzanine CMBS spreads have suffered significantly
as buying sponsorship has dried up
- What's the right way to evaluate the credit
risk and relative value of this part of the credit curve?
- Is the sector mis-priced or mis-rated?
- Who are the natural buyers? Leveraged or un-leveraged?
Session Facilitator:
Robert Brennan, Managing Director, DONALDSON, LUFKIN & JENRETTE
Panelists:
Reggie Leese, Vice President, CITIZENS BANK
Susan Merrick, Senior Director, FITCH
IBCA, INC.
Patrick Murphy, Assistant Vice President,
THE HARTFORD INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT CO.
Tom Kelley, Managing Director, MASSACHUSETTS
MUTUAL LIFE INSURANCE CO.
Kent Born, Managing Director, PPM
AMERICA
Jim Fitzpatrick, Managing Director, TEACHERS
INSURANCE & ANNUITY ASSOCIATION (TIAA-CREF)
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1:15B
CREDIT MARKETS? WHERE ARE WE HEADING?
Real estate fundamentals have been very favorable
over the past five years. In light of record high rents and historically low loan
delinquency rates, this distinguished panel of experts discusses the real estate
market outlook.
Session Facilitator:
Jim Titus, Director, Real Estate Debt Research, DONALDSON, LUFKIN & JENRETTE,
INC.
Panelists:
Mark Coleman, Vice President, DONALDSON, LUFKIN & JENRETTE, INC.
Sally Gordon, Vice President / Senior
Analyst, MOODY'S INVESTORS SERVICE
Susan Hudson-Wilson, Founder & CEO,
PROPERTY AND PORTFOLIO RESEARCH
Will McIntosh, Managing Director, PRUDENTIAL
MORTGAGE CAPITAL COMPANY
Ray Torto, Ph.D., President, TORTO
WHEATON RESEARCH
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1:15C
CREATION OF BRAND CONDUITS: WHAT'S THE VALUE OF A BRAND NAME?
- Does branding really make a difference?
- How strong is the branding movement?
- Who will be the leaders in the branding movement?
- How will conduits continue to differentiate
themselves in the marketplace?
- How many conduits will survive the current
turmoil?
- What's the value of a brand today?
- Has brand recognition manifested itself in
terms of CMBS secondary market pricing?
- Will 1999 be the year of smaller, one-brand
deals?
Session Facilitator:
Ben Johnson, Publisher, NATIONAL REAL ESTATE INVESTOR
Panelists:
Mitchell Sabshon, President & CEO, ARCHON FINANCIAL & Vice President,
GOLDMAN, SACHS & CO.
Christopher Hoeffel, Associate Director,
BEAR, STEARNS & CO.
Patricia Micka, Managing Director, CHASE
COMMERCIAL MORTGAGE BANKING
Donald J. MacKinnon, Managing Director,
DONALDSON, LUFKIN & JENRETTE, INC.
Brian Simpson, Managing Director, FIRST
UNION CAPITAL MARKETS
Daniel Smith, Senior Director, GE
CAPITAL ACCESS
David J. Friedman, Managing Director,
HELLER FINANCIAL INC.
Brian Di Donato, Manager CMBS Capital
Markets, MORGAN STANLEY DEAN WITTER
Ron Wechsler, Managing Director, PAINEWEBBER
COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE SECURITIES, INC.
Martin Lanigan, Senior Vice President, PRUDENTIAL
MORTGAGE CAPITAL COMPANY
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2:30A
ANALYTICS FOR AAA BUYERS
The rating agencies opine on the likelihood that a CMBS bond will pay the principal
and interest due. However, prepayments and, to some extent, defaults can greatly
affect the timing of bond payments. How do savvy investment-grade buyers evaluate
weighted life, duration and convexity for CMBS bonds? Two experienced professionals
discuss pricing, analysis and portfolio issues for AAA and IO bonds.
Mark Wuest, CMBS Strategist, AETNA INC.
Michael A. Megliola,
Associate Director
BEAR, STEARNS & CO.
|
2:30B
WHO'S CALLING THE SHOTS?: A LOOK AT UNDERWRITING STANDARDS IN AN ILLIQUID MARKET
- Are lenders back in the driverÿs seat?
- Is there a return to more conservative underwriting
standards?
- When will it be a borrowersÿ market again?
Session Facilitator:
Kent D. Born, Managing Director-Real Estate Securities, PPM AMERICA
Panelists:
Peter S. Horos, Director, ALLSTATE INSURANCE COMPANY
Carmela Anderson, Managing Director,
BANK OF AMERICA
Sam Davis, Senior Vice President, JOHN
HANCOCK REAL ESTATE FINANCE
Doug Cooper, Vice President - Underwriting,
CRIIMI MAE, INC.
Ed Blakey, Senior Vice President, WELLS
FARGO BANK
Anand Gajar, Senior Vice President, DONALDSON,
LUFKIN & JENRETTE, INC.
David Martindale, Vice President, Operations,
GE CAPITAL ACCESS
Brad Gillman, Vice President, GOLDMAN,
SACHS & CO.
Terry Alexander, Vice President, MOODY'S
INVESTORS SERVICE
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2:30C
SECURED VS. UNSECURED: THE BILLION DOLLAR BORROWER QUESTION FOR A MARKET IN
TURMOIL
- The economics of securitization
- CMBS vs. unsecured borrowing: to what extent
will REITs move to the mortgage market?
- Is mortgage money cheaper? Should REITs move
from an unsecured to a secured lending facility?
- Who's doing lending on secured deals?
- Illiquidity in debt markets
- Rating agency perspective
Session Facilitator:
Richard Lawch, Vice President, Capital Markets, FANNIE MAE
Panelists:
Constance Moore, Co-Chairman, ARCHSTONE COMMUNITIES
Bernie Freibaum, Executive Vice President
/ CFO, GENERAL GROWTH PROPERTIES, INC.
Mark Weiss, Managing Director, GOLDMAN,
SACHS & CO.
Larry Kravetz, Senior Vice President,
LEHMAN BROTHERS
Thomas OÿHern, Senior Vice President
and Chief Financial Officer, THE MACERICH COMPANY
Arvind Bajaj, Principal, MORGAN STANLEY DEAN
WITTER
Michael Ernst, Senior Vice President,
PRENTISS PROPERTY TRUST
Bill Haley, Director, STANDARD &
POOR'S
Al Rabil, Managing Director, WARBURG
DILLON READ
|
3:30
Refreshments Courtesy Of: INTEX |
3:50A
SURVEYING THE CARNAGE AFTER THE STORM: THE CHANGING LANDSCAPE OF THE NON-INVESTMENT
GRADE CMBS MARKET
- External leverage, lack of liquidity in the
capital markets, margin calls on repo lines, or what? What caused the wrenching
dislocation of capital in the market? Can it happen again?
- How is the evolved "B" piece market going to
impact the CMBS market as a whole?
- What made the "B" piece market work in the
past, and what will make it work again in the future?
- How is the liquidity vacuum going to be filled?
A look at new market entrants
- Sizing up the war chest of the old guard: how
much money does each "B" piece buyer have? Are they running on empty?
- Where are we in the real estate credit cycle
and how will "B" piece buyers be impacted?
- What is the proper discount rate to use when
buying subordinate bonds?
- Leveraging availability
- Total return capability on a leveraged basis
Session Facilitator:
Eric M. Hillenbrand, Managing Director, FIRST CHICAGO CAPITAL CORP.
Panelists:
Timothy R. Martin, Director, CMBS Trading, FIRST UNION CAPITAL MARKETS
Dan Sparks, Vice President, GOLDMAN,
SACHS & CO.
William McMillan, Senior Vice President,
KEYCORP REAL ESTATE CAPITAL MARKETS, INC.
Paul Hughson, Senior Vice President, LEHMAN
BROTHERS
Robert Cherry, Vice President, LNR
PROPERTY CORPORATION
Jonathan Strain, Principal, MORGAN
STANLEY DEAN WITTER
Robert Cestari, Director, CMBS Trading,
NOMURA SECURITIES INTERNATIONAL, INC.
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3:50B
THE ECONOMICS OF SERVICING
- Do you originate because you can make a profit
originating, or do you originate to service? A look at what's happening in the
industry
- Industry consolidation issues
- Packaging of pricing for master and special
servicers
- Underlying economics
- How can servicers continue to bid at such tight
pricing levels and still stay in business?
- How are master servicers competing on pricing?
Can they staff adequately at current pricing levels?
- Should trustees give up some of their fee income?
- Systems and information delivery: how good
are the available systems?
- What information can be accessed through electronic
means and how good is it?
- Barriers to entry to companies wanting to become
master servicers
- What level of activity is being seen in the
purchase and sale of master servicing rights?
- Understanding the relationship between master
and special servicer: is an evolution in their relationship currently underway?
Session Facilitator:
Deborah Wilson, Partner, KPMG PEAT MARWICK LLP
Panelists:
Hank Garmon, Senior Vice President, AMRESCO CAPITAL, LP
Paul Smyth, Managing Director-Servicing,
BANC ONE MORTGAGE CAPITAL MARKETS
Brian Hanson, Senior Vice President,
CRIIMI MAE, INC.
Debbie Slogoff, Monitoring Manager, DUFF
& PHELPS CREDIT RATING CO.
Timothy Ryan, Vice President, FIRST
UNION CAPITAL MARKETS
Stephanie Petosa, Director of Commercial
Mortgage, FITCH IBCA, INC.
Joseph Beggins, CEO, GE CAPITAL LOAN SERVICES
Denise Pagnucci, Vice President, GMAC
COMMERCIAL MORTGAGE
Timothy Mazzetti, Senior Vice President, MIDLAND
LOAN SERVICES
Sandra E. Trimble, Of Counsel, ORRICK,
HERRINGTON & SUTCLIFFE
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3:50C
THE EVER-CHANGING LANDSCAPE OF SECURITIZATION: ANALYZING THE PARADIGM SHIFT
FROM LARGE "FUSION PARTNERSHIP" DEALS TO SMALLER BRAND-IDENTIFIED "MICRO-LOAN"
PROGRAMS
- Focus on fusion, conduit and small loan programs
- A lot of small and micro loan programs have
been established. Do these programs make sense?
- Will we be moving from large fusion partnership
deals to smaller, more brand-identified deals?
- What is the future of the large loan business?
Session Facilitator:
Grace Huebscher, Director of Aggregation, FANNIE MAE
Panelists:
Jim Reichek, Senior Managing Director, BEAR, STEARNS & CO.
Deborah Huddleston, Vice President, CREDIT
SUISSE FIRST BOSTON
Donald J. MacKinnon, Managing Director,
DONALDSON, LUFKIN & JENRETTE, INC.
Jeff Fastov, Vice President, GOLDMAN,
SACHS & CO.
Robert Kukulka, Director, HELLER FINANCIAL
INC
Arvind Bajaj, Principal, MORGAN STANLEY DEAN WITTER
Ken Rivkin, Managing Director, NATIONSBANC
MONTGOMERY SECURITIES
|
4:50A
TRADERS' PANEL: "PAIN IS A TEACHER THAT MUST BE UNDERSTOOD." THE RULES CHANGED,
SO GET USED TO IT
- Psst! Hey Buddy! Wanna buy some risk? XXX-rated
spreads
- How to stop investors from imploding. Heroin
or repo: which is more addictive?
- Rich/cheap analysis-what is appropriate relative
value? Relative to what?
- Hedging: more painful that root canal. Why
bother? Alternatives to pain?
- Revenge of the nerds: Anticipating the return
of the real estate cycle. Where? When?
- Finally, our panel of experts will predict
year-end spreads by rating, tenor and perhaps lead-manager...
Session Facilitator:
Buck Burnaman, Managing Director, ING BARINGS US CAPITAL CORPORATION
Panelists:
Jim Higgins, Managing Director, BEAR, STEARNS & CO.
Ben Aitkenhead, Director, CREDIT SUISSE
FIRST BOSTON
Scott Waynebern, Vice President, DEUTSCHE
BANK SECURITIES, INC.
Dan Sparks, Vice President, GOLDMAN,
SACHS & CO.
Chris McGovern, Vice President, ING
BARINGS US CAPITAL CORPORATION
Ken Cohen, Senior Vice President, LEHMAN
BROTHERS
Ryan Marshall, Principal, MORGAN STANLEY
DEAN WITTER
|
4:50B
MEZZANINE DEBT & PREFERRED EQUITY: IS CAPITAL AVAILABLE?
- What, if any, are the differences between mezzanine
debt and preferred equity?
- What is the market today for mezzanine debt
and what does the future hold? Comment on your own institution.
- Where do you see the underwriting criteria
going? Loan to value and pricing levels?
- Role of the mortgage REIT in this arena. How
do we see them playing?
- Utilization of mezzanine debt and preferred
equity as funding sources for offshore capital market transactions
- What legal issues are there for structuring
mezzanine debt and preferred equity?
- How do you benchmark mezzanine securities?
- The complexities of raising mezzanine capital
- "One stop shopping": does it work in this market?
- In a problem situation, what does a mezzanine/preferred
holder do to protect its position? Rights in a workout.
Session Facilitator:
Stephen J. Pearlman, Senior Director - Investment Department, JONES LANG WOOTTON
Panelists:
Jonathan Pettee, Chief Operating Officer, AMRESCO CAPITAL, LP
Chris Milner, Vice President, BLACKROCK
FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
Anna Glick, Partner, CADWALADER, WICKERSHAM
& TAFT
Ed Shugrue III, Chief Financial Officer,
CAPITAL TRUST/VICTOR CAPITAL
Richard Gibson, Vice President, CRIIMI
MAE, INC.
Robert Foley, Vice President, GOLDMAN,
SACHS & CO.
Mark Karlan, President & Chief Executive
Officer, IMPERIAL CREDIT COMMERCIAL MORTGAGE
Thomas Mulroy, Senior Vice President,
STARWOOD FINANCIAL TRUST
|
4:50C
NEW LOAN STRUCTURES ON THE HORIZON
During the past year, some new twists to CMBS structures were introduced, with
varying levels of acceptance. Without rehashing what worked, what didn't and why,
this panel will examine any new ideas about to be introduced to the marketplace.
- Which new structures are being considered?
- Is it wise to introduce new structures so soon
after the liquidity crisis?
- Are the innovations likely to bring in new
investors or improve on current structures?
- What level of disclosure is required for new
structures?
Session Facilitator:
Joan Sapinsley, Managing Director, TEACHERS INSURANCE & ANNUITY ASSOCIATION
(TIAA-CREF)
Panelists:
Michael A. Megliola, Associate Director, BEAR, STEARNS & CO.
Marlyn Marincas, Director, THE CAPITAL
COMPANY OF AMERICA
Jeff Altabef, Vice President, CREDIT
SUISSE FIRST BOSTON
Heidi Silverberg, Vice President,
DUFF & PHELPS CREDIT RATING CO.
Brad Gillman, Vice President, GOLDMAN,
SACHS & CO.
Haejin Baek, Senior Vice President, LEHMAN
BROTHERS
Jim Flaum, Principal, MORGAN STANLEY
DEAN WITTER
Peter J. Korda, Partner, or Corey
A. Tessler, Partner, ORRICK, HERRINGTON & SUTCLIFFE
|
6:00
Day One Concludes Networking Cocktail Reception Courtesy Of:Morgan Stanley
Dean Writter & IMN
|
|
DAY TWO: TUESDAY,
JANUARY 12, 1999
|
| 8:15 |
Co-Chairpersons' Opening
Remarks |
| 8:30 |
UNDERWRITING STANDARDS,
DEAL SURVEILLANCE & MONITORING: ARE THE RATING AGENCIES MAKING THE GRADE? |
| . |
- What are the credit implications of recent
capital market events?
- Where are we in the credit cycle? Which asset
classes are hot? Which asset classes are of concern?
- Credit implications of floating-rate deals
- Leverage is way up yet subordination and spreads
are down. What has changed in the models that can decrease subordination when
leverage is increasing?
- Higher leverage implied by lower interest rates
and tighter spreads
- Credit impact of mezzanine debt / preferred
equity
- New loan structures: premium loans and reversed
earnouts
- Special servicer issues (e.g. CRIIMI MAE'S
filing and its impact)
- To what extent are investors simply buying
off the rating without doing their own due-diligence?
- Are investors differentiating between good
and bad deals?
- Potential for upgrades and downgrades: what
type of history do the agencies want to see?
- What does it take for an upgrade to occur in
terms of debt service coverage?
- Underlying property performance; credit enhancement?
- LTV and debt service coverage: comparing requirements
of two and three years ago vs. today
- Are appraisals ÿmade as instructedÿ?
Can any value be bought?
- Websites: whatÿs out there for ongoing
CMBS surveillance?
Session Facilitator:
P. Sheridan Schechner, Managing Director, GOLDMAN, SACHS & CO.
Panelists:
Heidi Silverberg, Vice President, DUFF & PHELPS CREDIT RATING CO.
Janet Price, Managing Director, FITCH IBCA, INC.
Tad Philipp, Managing Director, MOODY'S INVESTORS SERVICE
David Fallick, Director, STANDARD & POOR'S
|
| 10:00 |
KEYNOTE ADDRESS
Ethan Penner, THE PENNER GROUP |
| . |
Ethan Penner founded The Penner Group in
September 1998 after resigning from his position as President and Chief Executive
Officer of The Capital Company of America, formerly known as Nomura Asset Capital
Corporation. Mr. Penner propelled Capital America into the forefront of United
States real estate finance by pioneering the introduction and application of the
capital markets business to the business of real estate finance. Mr. Penner led
the firm to its position as the largest lender in the United States real estate
market in each year of its operation. Mr. Penner is widely credited with being
at the forefront of creating the market for liquid commercial mortgage-backed
securities in the United States. This market barely existed in 1992, and it has
grown dramatically to a market capitalization of over $130 billion today. Prior
to 1993, Mr. Penner was President of Magellan Financial Services, a San Francisco-based
investment banking firm specializing in mortgage finance and securitization, which
he founded in 1992. Earlier, he was a Principal at Morgan Stanley, where he was
instrumental in developing and managing the firm's mortgage trading and structured
finance operations. Before leaving Morgan Stanley, he headed the firm's mortgage
and structured finance activities in the western United States. |
| 10:30 |
Refreshments Courtesy
Of: INTEX |
10:45A
ANALYSIS, RELATIVE VALUE & PORTFOLIO CONSIDERATIONS: INSIGHTFUL RESEARCH
PERSPECTIVES ON THE CMBS MARKET
- How has the market fundamentally changed in
the last six months?
- How did CMBS performance differ from corporates
and mortgages and why?
- How have the events involving Nomura, Long-Term
Capital and Criimi Mae affected CMBS performance?
- Do you think that CMBS are riskier than you
used to?
- When will liquidity fully return to this market?
- How is the investor base changing and how are
these changes affecting CMBS?
- What are your predictions for the CMBS market?
Session Facilitator:
Laura Quigg, Senior Portfolio Manager, SANFORD C. BERNSTEIN COMPANY, INC.
Panelists:
Michael Megliola, Associate Director, BEAR, STEARNS & CO.
James Titus, Director, Real Estate Debt
Research, DONALDSON LUFKIN & JENRETTE, INC.
Mark Buono, Vice President, GOLDMAN,
SACHS & CO.
Patrick Corcoran, Ph.D., Vice President,
J.P. MORGAN
Haejin Baek, Senior Vice President, LEHMAN
BROTHERS
Howard Esaki, Principal, MORGAN STANLEY
DEAN WITTER, INC.
John Mulligan, First Vice President,
PRUDENTIAL SECURITIES
|
10:45B
FRANCHISE LOAN SECURITIZATION
- Liquidity issues
- Securitization of royalties
- Latest developments in asset valuation
Session Facilitator:
Hu Benton, Partner, ANDREWS & KURTH LLP
Panelists:
John Shrewsbury, Managing Director, AMERICAN COMMERCIAL CAPITAL
Emily Youssouf, Director, CREDIT SUISSE
FIRST BOSTON
Paul McCarthy, Vice President, DUFF
& PHELPS CREDIT RATING CO.
Kevin Burke, Executive Vice President,
Capital Markets, FMAC
Allison Bailey, Vice President, LEHMAN
BROTHERS
Jim Fadel, Principal, MORGAN STANLEY
DEAN WITTER
John Mulligan, First Vice President,
PRUDENTIAL SECURITIES
|
10:45C
WINNING THE ORIGINATION BATTLE: LIFE INSURANCE COMPANIES VS. BANKS AND FINANCE
COMPANIES
- Where does the conduit business strategically
fit within a company given the turmoil within the conduit business over the past
several months?
- How are banks and insurance companies differentiating
themselves from conduit finance companies?
- Are conduit finance companies well enough capitalized
to weather a downturn?
- Are life insurance companies gaining market
share, and if so, why?
- What are the relative origination advantages
for conduits, commercial banks and life insurance companies?
- Which strategies are being used by life insurance
companies and/or commercial banks to protect themselves in a volatile marketplace?
Which strategies, new or old, are the conduit companies using?
- Is warehouse / repo lending dead as a funding
source for conduit companies?
- What alternative dispositions are available
if a CMBS execution is unprofitable?
Session Facilitator:
William McInerney, Partner, CADWALADER, WICKERSHAM & TAFT
Panelists:
Patricia Micka, Managing Director, CHASE COMMERCIAL MORTGAGE BANKING
Kieran Quinn, President & Chief Operating
Officer, COLUMN FINANCIAL
Steven Wendel, Director, CONTI FINANCIAL
Barry Reiner, Managing Director, FIRST
UNION CAPITAL MARKETS
Rob Kukulka, Director, HELLER FINANCIAL
INC.
Deborah McAneny, President, JOHN HANCOCK
REAL ESTATE FINANCE
Paul Horning, Senior Vice President,
KEYCORP REAL ESTATE CAPITAL MARKETS, INC.
David Lauretti, Senior Managing Director,
MASSACHUSETTS MUTUAL LIFE INSURANCE CO.
Boyd Johnson, Senior Vice President,
WACHOVIA
|
11:45A
THE ANALYTICS OF CMBS "TOTAL RETURN" INVESTING: A "B" PIECE, IO AND INVESTMENT
GRADE BUYER'S PERSPECTIVE
- Comparing and contrasting the total return
characteristics of the "B" piece, IO and investment grade markets: a look at supply
and demand technicals from a total return perspective
- Weighing CMBS performance vs. ABS, residential
mortgage and corporate bond performance
- What to do when illiquidity strikes
- How to incorporate potential liquidity shortfalls
into your total return analysis
- Addressing the need for better information
on loan performance for CPR assumptions regarding total return potential
Session Facilitator:
James X. Callahan, Executive Director, THE PENTALPHA CAPITAL GROUP, LLC
Panelists:
Keith A. Gollenberg, Vice President, CIGNA INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT
Frederick Burchill, Executive Vice President,
CRIIMI MAE, INC.
Michael Hoeh, Senior Portfolio Manager,
DREYFUS CORPORATION
Eric M. Hillenbrand, Managing Director, FIRST
CHICAGO CAPITAL CORP.
David Friedman, Senior Vice President and Managing
Director of Capital Markets, HELLER FINANCIAL INC.
Scott Radell, Analyst, MILLER ANDERSON
& SHERRERD
Ronald Mass, CFA, Principal, WESTERN
ASSET MANAGEMENT COMPANY
|
11:45B
PERSPECTIVES ON CMBS SURVEILLANCE, MONITORING AND SECONDARY TRADING
There is currently over $200 billion invested in CMBS. Traders need up-to-the-minute
information to price and bid bonds. Investors need to monitor their CMBS portfolios.
Various CMBS participants discuss how investors and traders can access information
needed to follow their current and potential investments.
- Watch lists using DSCR levels
- Defining the participants in the information
chain
- Who has the information you need? How do you
get it?
- Quality vs. quantity of information
- Future ways to improve information
- How are investors using this information? How
is it affecting their trading?
- The breakdown in information between master
servicer and subservicer
- The future is here: Internet, Bloomberg etc.
- Websites as information purveyors
- Standard file formats: Are they being adopted?
Session Facilitator:
Tricia Hall, Vice President, LEHMAN BROTHERS
Panelists:
Jeffrey Whitlatch, Senior Vice President, AMRESCO CAPITAL, LP
Debbie Slogoff, Monitoring Manager, DUFF
& PHELPS CREDIT RATING CO.
Janet Price, Managing Director, FITCH
IBCA, INC.
Denise Pagnucci, Vice President, Investor
Relations, GMAC COMMERCIAL MORTGAGE CORPORATION
Brad Hauger, Vice President and Manager
of Investor Reporting, MIDLAND LOAN SERVICES
Ronald Feldman, Managing Director, NORWEST
BANK MINNESOTA, N.A.
Jim Savitsky, Vice President, THE
TREPP GROUP
|
11:45C
FLOATING-RATE CMBS: THE STATE OF THE MARKET
- Supply-volume of floating rate issuance in
1998; estimates for 1999
- Demand: what is the demand for this product?
Where is it coming from?
- Borrower profiles
- Typical loan terms
- Rating agency issues
- Bond structure and pricing
- CMBS investor considerations
Session Facilitator:
Margaret Blakey, Vice President, GOLDMAN, SACHS & CO.
Panelists:
Joel G. Shapiro, Managing Director, Real Estate Services, BDO SEIDMAN LLP
Ione Permison, Managing Director, CHASE
COMMERCIAL MORTGAGE BANKING
Phoebe Moreo, Partner, E&Y KENNETH
LEVENTHAL REAL ESTATE GROUP
James Blakemore, Vice President, LEHMAN
BROTHERS
Constantine Korologos, Vice President
/ Senior Analyst, MOODY'S INVESTORS SERVICE
Gregory Murphy, Managing Director, CMBS Trading,
NOMURA SECURITIES INTERNATIONAL
Nino Fanlo, Senior Vice President, WELLS
FARGO BANK
|
12:15
Golf Tournament
The Tiburon Golf Club $160.00
The
36-hole golf course, designed by Greg Norman, is his 29th course in the world,
his seventh in the United States, his only course in southwest Floridaÿÿand
his most challenging course design yet. The first 27 holes of the layout opened
for play in November 1998, and providing three distinct par-72, 18-hole combinations
playing approximately 7,000 yards each. The Tiburon course is one that demands
accuracy with long carries over water, deep bunkers with stacked sod walls and
tight fairways with no rough to protect errant shots. The turf, a hybrid burmudagrass,
is proven to offer higher ball elevation and faster divot recovery.
Tennis $40.00
The
Har-tru (American "green clay") courts located on the property at The Registry
Resort are the best around. Each court has shaded seating and lighted courts for
night play. For first time players, The Registry Tennis Academy offers excellent
instructors to help get your forehand or backhand up to stroke. |
12:45
Luncheon For Attendees Of Optional CMBS Analytics Workshop |
OPTIONAL CMBS ANALYTICS WORKSHOP, TUESDAY,
JANUARY 12, 1999, 2:00 PM TO 5:00 PM
CREDIT MATTERS
Conventional CPR and CDR analyses are limited
with regard to the insight they provide to CMBS investors. Amongst their shortcomings,
these conventional analytical techniques require the analyst to a priori specify
credit events (i.e. prepayment and default rates).
Credit Driven Analysis enables the analyst to specify scenarios of future market
conditions and observe how the interplay of real estate, credit markets and interest
rates affect collateral performance. Credit Driven Analysis links market dynamics
to bond yields. This analytic method is used by many major CMBS investors.
SPECIFIC TOPICS TO BE COVERED INCLUDE:
- Credit-driven analysis
- Credit analysis-Uncovering opportunity
- Integrating real estate fundamentals
- An investor's perspective
Workshop Instructors:
Michael Ervolini, CEO, CHARTER RESEARCH CORPORATION
Harold J.A. Haig, President, CHARTER RESEARCH CORPORATION
George Pappadoupolos, Director of Portfolio Research, PROPERTY AND PORTFOLIO
RESEARCH, INC.
Scott Fuller, Vice President, FIRST UNION CAPITAL MARKETS
<--Please Note: CMBS registrants must
pay an additional fee to attend this workshop -->
|
|
|
|
DAY THREE: WEDNESDAY,
JANUARY 13, 1999
|
8:45
Co-Chairpersons' Opening Remarks |
9:00A
SPECIALTY FINANCE
A focus on esoteric asset classes: marinas, hospitals, prisons, golf courses,
cold storage facilities, stadiums, exhibition halls, single tenant occupancies,
funeral homes and auto dealerships.
Session Facilitator:
Trey Blalock, Partner, ANDREWS & KURTH LLP
Panelists:
Kevin Burke, Executive Vice President, CAPITAL MARKETS, FMAC
David A. Karp, Chief Operating Officer,
FALCON FINANCIAL, LLC
Thomas D. Eckert, President & CEO,
CAPITAL AUTOMOTIVE REIT
Jay Eisbruch, Vice President / Senior
Credit Officer, MOODY'S INVESTORS SERVICE
Valerie Kay, Vice President, MORGAN
STANLEY DEAN WITTER
|
9:00B
SPECIAL SERVICINGÿWHAT EVERY PURCHASER AND HOLDER OF JUNIOR CERTIFICATES
SHOULD KNOW
Special servicers are summoned when a loan becomes distressed. It is crucial
to know the risks that can be involved in order to avoid future conflicts. Since
"B" piece buyers are also the ones who are either special servicing these loans
or dictating who the special servicer will be, it is important that they understand
the default scenario. The panel will address the following:
- What rights should be given to the special
servicer and how much flexibility should the special servicer be given?
- What happens in a workout of a single asset
real estate?
- What happens in a bankruptcy of a single asset
real estate?
- What happens when the special servicer is required
to service a distressed asset? How are the economics of the deal impacted?
- When structuring a loan, what can the special
servicer do in the pooling and service agreement to create a workable deal with
troubled loans?
Session Facilitator:
Barry Dichter, Partner, CADWALADER, WICKERSHAM & TAFT
Panelists:
Paul Smyth, Managing Director-Servicing, BANC ONE MORTGAGE CAPITAL MARKETS
Eric R. Lindner, Executive Vice President,
GMAC COMMERCIAL MORTGAGE
Thomas Meyer, Director, OCWEN FINANCIAL
|
9:00C
SECURITIZING LOANS MADE FOR SECURITIZATION: AN ISSUER'S PERSPECTIVE ON SHORT-TERM
FLOATING RATE CMBS SECURITIZATION
- How to differentiate between deals
- How do the rating agencies analyze these deals?
- Floating Rate Fusion Deals: investor and rating
agency impact
- Structural innovations: issuer, investor and
rating agency perspectives
- How did they securitize that? A look at the
unique assets recently securitized
Session Facilitator:
James Blakemore, Vice President, LEHMAN BROTHERS
Panelists:
Patrick Quinn, Partner, CADWALADER, WICKERSHAM & TAFT
Robert Perlman, Vice President, CREDIT
SUISSE FIRST BOSTON
Eric Schwartz, Director, DEUTSCHE
BANK SECURITIES, INC.
Chris Reilly, Associate Director, FITCH
IBCA, INC.
Haejin Baek, Senior Vice President, LEHMAN
BROTHERS
|
| 10:00 Refreshments Courtesy
Of: INTEX |
10:15A
DEVELOPMENTS IN EUROPE, canada, ASIA AND LATIN AMERICA AND THE OPPORTUNITIES
CREATED FOR INVESTORS
- Structuring cross-border commercial mortgage
loans to achieve liquidity
- Rating agency concerns in analyzing cross-border
transactions
- Underwriting and due diligence issues for non-US
properties
- Utilizing external credit enhancement to improve
execution
- Legal and tax issues in cross-border lending
and securitizing in various jurisdictions
Session Facilitator:
Hugh Hall, Vice President, CREDIT SUISSE FIRST BOSTON
Panelists:
Robert Vahradian, Director, CREDIT SUISSE FIRST BOSTON
Eva Leeman, Principal, EML FINANCIAL
Huxley Somerville, Senior Director, FITCH
IBCA, INC.
Henry G. Morriello, Partner, KAYE,
SCHOLER, FIERMAN, HAYS & HANDLER
Jacqui Brady, Vice President, NOMURA
SECURITIES INTERNATIONAL
Joshua Raff, Partner, ORRICK, HERRINGTON
& SUTCLIFFE
|
10:15B
Please note that there is no "B" session |
10:15C
MEZZANINE ANALYSIS-THE CROSSOVER BETWEEN BONDS AND REAL ESTATE
Owners of mezzanine debt are ever-vigilant about the level of subordination
supporting their positions. Potential losses resulting from payment or balloon
defaults can quickly erode credit support. Two major mezzanine investors evaluate
credit risk. Boundary tests, stress scenarios and effective duration will be examined.
Timothy Dwyer, Vice President, BANK BOSTON,
NA
Reggie Leese, Vice President, CITIZENS
BANK
|
11:15
The Annual Winter CMBS Forum Concludes
|
|
SPONSORSHIP AND EXHIBIT
OPPORTUNITIES:
In addition to the main
program, a limited number of table-top exhibits will be open during the course
of the Summit. Exhibitors will have the opportunity to promote products and services
of special interest to Summit attendees. For more information, including package
deals please call (212) 768-2800 ext. 235. Food, beverage and special event sponsorships
are also available.
|
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