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Main Website >>Structured Finance >>Blog >> Cheeseburgers, KFC & Copper
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Bill Carrigan, Founder, GETTINGTECHNICAL.COM

Cheeseburgers, KFC & Copper
Friday, February 04 2011 | 04:25 PM
Bill Carrigan
Founder, GETTINGTECHNICAL.COM

No doubt we have to credit the Chinese growth story for the big 2010 gains in the North American stock markets. The broadest measure of U.S. equities, the Dow Jones Total Stock Market Index (formerly the Wilshire 5000) gained 15.34% in 2010, or approximately $2.3 trillion in market capitalization. The index has gained 44.99% since 2008. Most notable was the index gain of 23.35% during the third and fourth quarters.

Investors in the commodity space were the big winners with the price of crude, gold, silver, cotton, copper, uranium and potash all soaring in response to the China story.

Our chart displays two direct beneficiaries of the China story – the big fast food players McDonalds (MCD) and YUM Brands (YUM). Look at the price action over the past several weeks – down is the face of a late December rally the took most of the broader stock indices to 52-week highs. Clearly these Chinese consumer bellwethers are predicting a Chinese slowdown – if you love the copper / Chinese story MCD & YUM may give you indigestion.



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